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Update - Monkeypox may be a threat to immunocompromised on current trajectory

August 4, 2022

Update

U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra has declared monkeypox a national public health emergency, just days after California, Illinois, and New York declared emergencies. The World Health Organization’s (WHO) Director-General declared the virus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern on July 23, 2022, though the WHO committee that typically makes that designation could not reach a consensus.

U.S. monkeypox case counts by state as of August 3, 2022.
U.S. monkeypox case counts by state as of August 3, 2022 from the CDC: 
https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/us-map.html

As of August 3, 2022, there are at least 25,864 confirmed cases of monkeypox in 80 countries where it has not been reported historically, including 6,617 cases in the U.S. This week has also seen the first deaths in this outbreak—two in Spain, and one each in Brazil and India. 

Monkeypox is still circulating widely as global and U.S. public health officials struggle to get the current outbreak under control. The hope is that resources available under a public health emergency declaration, both internationally and in the U.S., will help turn the tide. Patients have reported delays in testing and diagnosis despite extensive media coverage, and vaccine rollout has been slow.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website lists the following “What You Need to Know” information: 


Originally published July 14, 2022

As of July 13, 2022, there are at least 10,845 confirmed cases of monkeypox in 59 countries where it has not been reported historically, including 1,053 cases in the U.S. On June 23, 2022, a committee of the World Health Organization (WHO) declined to declare the outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). However, the committee noted that individuals in the European region were at highest risk and recommended that the situation be reviewed again in several weeks.

In response to public concern over monkeypox and the safety of plasma-based therapeutics, the Plasma Protein Therapeutics Association (PPTA) has released a statement with the following conclusion: "Due to the characteristics of the virus and multiple, complementary steps with significant and robust virus removal and virus reduction capacity utilized during manufacturing of plasma protein therapies, PPTA considers that the current [monkeypox] outbreak is not a concern for the safety margins of plasma protein therapies manufactured by PPTA member companies."


Originally published May 31, 2022

Although these reports may bring early COVID-19 days to mind, there are key differences between the viruses that cause these diseases, and our familiarity with them, that make monkeypox unlikely to become widespread.

What is monkeypox?

Colorized microscopic image of monkeypox virus.
Colorized microscopic image of monkeypox virus.
NIAID, https://www.flickr.com/photos/niaid/52096775365.

Unlike COVID-19, monkeypox is not new to humans and scientists know quite a bit about the biology of the disease and how it spreads. 

Monkeypox is an illness caused by a less dangerous cousin of the smallpox virus. It typically resolves on its own in immunocompetent people within 2-4 weeks. Patients first experience flu-like symptoms including fever, headache, muscle aches, and chills. Then a smallpox-like rash develops, usually starting on the face and spreading to other parts of the body. However, the World Health Organization notes that some patients in the current outbreak do not have typical symptoms. Sometimes, the rash is the first symptom, and there have been cases where the patient has only one or a handful of lesions.  

A minority of patients develop serious disease and 1-10% die, depending on the viral strain. The first published viral sequence from the current outbreak indicates that the circulating strain is the less deadly of the two types of monkeypox virus. As with many viral illnesses, those who are immunocompromised are thought to be more vulnerable.

The monkeypox virus is zoonotic, which means it typically infects animals (in this case, rodents and primates) rather than people. However, in ‘endemic’ countries in West and Central Africa, the virus circulates between animals and humans and outbreaks have been reported since 1970. The virus can also spread from person to person through close contact with the rash, or large respiratory droplets. There is no evidence of airborne transmission, another key difference from COVID-19.

Finally, monkeypox is a DNA virus, rather than an RNA virus like SARS-CoV-2. Because of differences in how DNA viruses copy themselves, they are not as prone to giving rise to variants that could escape prior immunity.

Why is the current monkeypox outbreak newsworthy?

The current outbreak is unusual because it is occurring over a large geographical area in countries where monkeypox is extremely rare and typically found only in travelers. For example, the United Kingdom, which has 106 confirmed cases as of May 26, 2022, previously reported seven total monkeypox cases since 2018. Many of the current cases have no known travel to endemic countries and no known contact with people or animals from western or central Africa.

In a statement, the World Health Organization (WHO) said “The sudden appearance of monkeypox simultaneously in several non-endemic countries suggests that there may have been undetected transmission for some time as well as recent amplifying events.”

Another unusual factor in the current outbreak is that many of the confirmed cases are in men who have sex with men. Monkeypox is not considered a sexually-transmitted disease (STD) so this epidemiological pattern is unusual. However, it is possible that transmission is occurring because of close contact and/or exchange of respiratory droplets during sex and not, strictly speaking, because the virus is now being transmitted via semen or vaginal fluid.

What tools are effective against monkeypox?

The virus transmits through close contact and respiratory droplets and CDC Laboratory Response Network (LRN) sites in the U.S. and in other countries can test for active infection via detection of viral DNA. These factors make isolating monkeypox patients practical and one of the most effective ways to stop transmission.

Because monkeypox is closely related to smallpox, many of the vaccines and treatments originally developed for smallpox are also thought to be effective against monkeypox. For example, people previously vaccinated against smallpox (which was part of routine vaccination in the U.S. until 1972) have some cross-protection against monkeypox

In addition, vaccines and treatments for smallpox are available through government stockpiles. The U.S. currently licenses two smallpox vaccines, ACAM2000 and JYNNEOS (JYNNEOS is also licensed to treat monkeypox). On May 25, 2022, the U.S. government released vaccines for close contacts of confirmed cases in a strategy called ring vaccination that is designed to stop the spread of the virus. Unfortunately, both vaccines contain live virus and may be contraindicated for many with primary immunodeficiency.

There are also antiviral medications that are likely effective against monkeypox. Brincidofovir was approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Associaton for the treatment of smallpox, and has been shown to be effective in animal studies. In a retrospective case study, one British patient treated with tecovirimat, another smallpox antiviral that prevents infected cells from producing new viral particles, had a shorter duration of illness and viral shedding.

What’s the bottom line?

It should be noted that even in endemic countries, monkeypox is a rare disease. The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) reported 6,257 suspected cases in 2020, compared to an estimated 29 million cases of malaria. As Dr. Mark Ballow, IDF’s medical advisor, puts it, “Risk to the general public is low, but you should seek medical care immediately if you develop a new, unexplained skin rash (lesions on any part of the body), with or without fever and chills, and avoid contact with others.”

Ballow also suggests calling ahead before visiting a medical facility if you suspect you have monkeypox. If applicable, be sure to include the following information in your discussion with your healthcare provider:

  • Any contact with a person that might have had monkeypox.
  • If you are a man who has had intimate contact (including sex) with other men.
  • Travel to an area where monkeypox has been reported (see countries listed by WHO) or in an area where monkeypox is more commonly found (the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Republic of the Congo, Nigeria, Central African Republic, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Gabon, Liberia, Sierra Leone, or Sudan).

Protective measures you can take include avoiding crowded places, social distancing when possible, and using a mask all measures that are also effective against COVID-19, which is still actively circulating in most places.

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